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STONERIDGE INC (SRI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $217.9M, adjusted gross margin 21.9%, adjusted EBITDA $7.6M, and GAAP diluted EPS of $(0.26). Full-year 2025 guidance was maintained across all metrics .
  • Versus consensus, revenue modestly beat ($212.4M est. vs $217.9M actual), EBITDA beat ($5.86M est. vs $7.08M actual), while EPS missed (($(0.17) est. vs $(0.26) actual)) due to ongoing end-market pressure; management expects Q2 performance to slightly increase versus Q1 as initiatives compound (estimates marked with asterisks; S&P Global).
  • Operating performance improved quarter-over-quarter: adjusted gross margin expanded +210 bps, driven by ~220 bps material cost improvement and ~$2.5M lower quality-related costs; MirrorEye® and SMART 2 Tachograph set quarterly sales records, with MirrorEye up ~24% QoQ .
  • Cash generation and balance sheet trends were favorable: free cash flow of $4.9M and inventory reduced by approximately $28M YoY; compliance net debt/TTM EBITDA at 3.97x with a year-end target of 2.0x–2.5x maintained .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Adjusted gross margin improved by a healthy 210 basis points…result of…material cost improvement (220 bps) and reduced quality-related costs (~$2.5M)” .
  • “MirrorEye revenue increased by an impressive 24% relative to the fourth quarter of 2024,” with strong bus market sales and OEM ramp; SMART 2 Tachograph also set a quarterly sales record .
  • Free cash flow of ~$4.9M and YoY inventory reduction of ~$28M reflect disciplined working capital execution (positive cash and leverage trends) .

What Went Wrong

  • EPS missed consensus (($(0.17)*) vs actual $(0.26)) as end-market weakness and mix weighed on profitability; management continued cost actions but highlighted macro/tariff uncertainties that could affect demand (estimates marked with asterisks; S&P Global).
  • Revenue was flat QoQ (Q1’25 $217.9M vs Q4’24 $218.2M) and down YoY (vs Q1’24 $239.2M) amid softer commercial vehicle and NA passenger volumes and lower off-highway sales .
  • Quality-related costs remain a focal area despite improvement; Q4 was impacted by elevated warranty/quality costs, and management emphasized process changes to stabilize future outcomes .

Financial Results

GAAP results vs prior year and prior quarter

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$239.157 $218.248 $217.890
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$48.4 $42.7 $46.3
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$0.331 $(4.4) $(3.225)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(6.126) $(6.114) $(7.196)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.22) $(0.22) $(0.26)

Adjusted performance and margins

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)19.7% 21.9%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)(1.8)% (0.2)%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$6.0 $7.6
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)2.7% 3.5%

Segment breakdown (Net Sales)

Segment ($USD Millions)Q1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Control Devices$77.989 $63.2 $69.855
Electronics$156.124 $149.4 $140.534
Stoneridge Brazil$12.216 $12.4 $14.409

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025
MirrorEye QoQ Sales Growth (%)~24%
SMART 2 TachographQuarterly sales record
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$4.9
Net Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$10.9
Inventory Reduction YoY ($USD Millions)~$28
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$79.1
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$203.2
Compliance Net Debt / TTM EBITDA (x)3.97x

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$860–$890 $860–$890 Maintained
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)FY 202522.0%–22.5% 22.0%–22.5% Maintained
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)FY 20250.75%–1.25% 0.75%–1.25% Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$38–$42 (4.4%–4.7%) $38–$42 (4.4%–4.7%) Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY 2025$25–$30 $25–$30 Maintained
Compliance Net Debt/EBITDA (x)FY 2025 YE Target2.0x–2.5x 2.0x–2.5x Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prev)Q4 2024 (Prev)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Tariffs/macroFlagged macro pressures; FX and demand headwinds Maintained cautious stance; outlined supply chain and pricing mitigations “Very little direct impact in Q1”; ~91% Mexico-origin product USMCA exempt; pursuing price increases Mitigation improving; demand uncertainty persists
MirrorEye adoptionStandardized on multiple EU platforms; new OEM launches; fleet trials Announced DTNA program; reiterated 2025 MirrorEye growth +24% QoQ; record quarter; OEM ramp and bus market strength Accelerating
Quality-related costsReduction efforts underway Elevated in Q4; process changes; expected improvement ~$2.5M QoQ improvement; focus on built-in quality Improving
Inventory/working capitalYTD cash +$13.3M; inventory down $11.3M FY cash +$47.7M; inventory down $36.4M FCF $4.9M; inventory down ~$28M YoY; sustainability emphasized Sustained improvement
End-market outlookCV and passenger weakness; seasonality Assumed OEM decline in 2025; MirrorEye offsets Conservative volume assumptions; Q2 slight uptick; back half CV strength possible Cautiously constructive
New products/technologyLDM award announced; aftermarket/bus expansion Connected trailer suite timing (limited in 2025; expansion 2026) Connected trailer evaluations late-2025; broader rollout 2026 Pipeline progressing

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We delivered strong performance…adjusted gross margin improvement of 210 basis points and adjusted EBITDA and cash performance that soundly exceeded our expectations…MirrorEye revenue increased by an impressive 24% relative to the fourth quarter of 2024” .
  • CFO: “We are maintaining our full year guidance ranges…Even considering the most recent external production forecasts, we expect to perform within our previously provided EBITDA guidance range” .
  • CEO on tariffs: “Approximately 91% of…product sales [from Mexico] are USMCA certified and are currently not subject to tariffs…we have already secured…price increases…to offset…tariffs” .
  • CFO on cadence: “We expect the second quarter performance will slightly increase compared to the first quarter…EBITDA to be slightly more back half weighted” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Electronics momentum and margins: MirrorEye ramp (Volvo Europe), aftermarket bus interest; contribution margins typically 25–30% with linear margin progression expected through the year .
  • Tariffs: Direct costs limited; policy changes (no stacking), USMCA exemptions; monitoring demand-side impacts and prepared to mitigate with sourcing/pricing .
  • Inventory sustainability: Turns targeted to high single digits; improvements seen as sustainable even as top line grows .
  • Manufacturing footprint: MirrorEye and Tachograph produced in Europe, reducing tariff exposure for those lines .
  • MirrorEye outlook: No change to ~$120M FY 2025 mirror-eye revenue expectation; strong OEM and fleet momentum .
  • Connected trailer: Limited customer evaluations late-2025; significant expansion expected in 2026 .
  • Production forecasts vs guidance: Conservative planning within broad forecast ranges; confidence in achieving guidance .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 ActualBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$212.4*$217.9 Beat
Primary EPS ($USD)$(0.17)*$(0.26) Miss
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$5.86*$7.08 Beat

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may need to adjust: Continued margin progression (material and quality cost reductions) and OEM MirrorEye ramps suggest upward bias to out-quarter EBITDA assumptions; persistent demand volatility and mix headwinds imply cautious EPS trajectory despite improved operations .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • MirrorEye and SMART 2 are structurally driving outperformance; record quarter and +24% QoQ MirrorEye growth highlight strengthening OEM adoption and aftermarket bus momentum .
  • Margin expansion is credible and repeatable: +210 bps adjusted gross margin QoQ from material savings (~220 bps) and ~$2.5M lower quality costs; focus on built-in quality and structural cost control persists .
  • Cash discipline remains a bright spot: $4.9M FCF, ~$28M YoY inventory reduction; leverage compliance ratio at 3.97x with maintained 2.0x–2.5x target by year-end .
  • Guidance intact despite macro/tariff uncertainty; management anticipates slight Q2 uptick and back-half EBITDA weighting as initiatives compound and MirrorEye ramps .
  • Tariff exposure manageable (USMCA certifications, sourcing/pricing strategies) but monitor demand-side impacts; mix and end-market softness can pressure EPS even as EBITDA improves .
  • Near-term trading: Favor catalysts around OEM MirrorEye launch milestones and continued margin/cash execution; watch for QoQ margin/EBITDA progression and any tariff-demand headlines .
  • Medium-term thesis: Camera monitor systems adoption, connected trailer pipeline, and structural cost improvements support revenue and margin expansion into 2026+; maintain focus on quality-related expense normalization .